RCP's final estimate was 3.2 points below that (this was in two-way polling; polls including third-party candidates were rare that year). Analysis. "And that appears key to Trump support.". President. RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Back then, Rubio/Cruz were in the mid-teens and Carson/Kasich were in the single digits. [CDATA[ "https:" : "http:"; opst.type = 'text/javascript'; opst.async = true; opst.src = os_host + '//' + 'www.opinionstage.com/polls/2295563/embed.js'; (document.getElementsByTagName('head')[0] || document.getElementsByTagName('body')[0]).appendChild(opst); }()); [CDATA[ That's harder than it sounds. Visit Decision 2016 at NBCNews.com for the latest news about the 2016 election, including debates, polls, and results. (function () { var opst = document.createElement('script'); var os_host = document.location.protocol == "https:" ? Do you think anything Oliver said will impact Trump supporters once they are in the booth? Updated Nov. 9, 2016. State Polling Averages. // ]]> //